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RISOn the Observed Trends and Changes in Global Sea Surface Temperature and Air–Sea Heat Fluxes (1984–2006)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: lobal satellite observations show the sea surface temperature (SST) increasing since the 1970s in all ocean basins, while the net air?sea heat flux Q decreases. Over the period 1984?2006 the global changes are 0.28°C in ...
The Value of Initialization on Decadal Timescales: State-Dependent Predictability in the CESM Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Information in decadal climate prediction arises from a well-initialized ocean state and from the predicted response to an external forcing. The length of time over which the initial conditions benefit the decadal forecast ...
Eastern Boundary Upwelling Systems in Ocean–Sea Ice Simulations Forced by CORE and JRA55-do: Mean State and Variability at the Surface
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Predicting Near-Term Changes in the Earth System: A Large Ensemble of Initialized Decadal Prediction Simulations Using the Community Earth System Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThe objective of near-term climate prediction is to improve our fore-knowledge, from years to a decade or more in advance, of impactful climate changes that can in general be attributed to a combination of internal ...