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RISBehavior of a Moist Kelvin Wave Packet with Nonlinear Heating
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The effects of nonlinear (positive only or conditional) heating on moist Kelvin waves are examined with a simple equatorial zonal-plane model describing the gravest baroclinic mode. The unstable perturbation subject to ...
Seasonal Prediction of North Pacific SSTs and PDO in the NCEP CFS Hindcasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: easonal prediction skill of North Pacific sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTAs) and the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) in the NCEP Climate Forecast System (CFS) retrospective forecasts is assessed. The SST forecasts ...
Ocean–Atmosphere Characteristics of Tropical Instability Waves Simulated in the NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he NCEP Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) represents a new effort with the first guess from a high-resolution coupled system and offers prospects for improved simulation of mesoscale air?sea coupled variability. ...
ENSO Prediction with Markov Models: The Impact of Sea Level
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A series of seasonally varying linear Markov models are constructed in a reduced multivariate empirical orthogonal function (MEOF) space of observed sea surface temperature, surface wind stress, and sea level analysis. The ...
Financing Decision Model for Toll Roads: Balancing Economic and Public Attributes
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Two common attributes are associated with toll roads: an economic attribute and a public attribute. These attributes are not equalized—the higher the economic benefits, the lower the consumer surplus. This paper presents ...
Seasonality of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he seasonality of the Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO) is examined using North Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) in observations and in a 480-yr simulation with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) ...
Pentad Evolution of Wintertime Impacts of the Madden–Julian Oscillation over the Contiguous United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: agged pentad composites of surface air temperature and precipitation are analyzed for the winter season (December?February) to assess the influence of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) on the climate of the contiguous ...
Predictability of a Coupled Model of ENSO Using Singular Vector Analysis. Part I: Optimal Growth in Seasonal Background and ENSO Cycles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The fastest initial error growth (optimal growth) in the Zebiak and Cane (ZC) forecast model for the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is analyzed by singular value decomposition of a forward tangent model along a ...
Near-Natural Silviculture: Sustainable Approach for Urban Renaturalization? Assessment Based on 10 Years Recovering Dynamics and Eco-Benefits in Shanghai
Publisher: American Society of Civil Engineers
Abstract: Although the near-natural silviculture approach as a method for urban renaturalization has been widely applied in the world, there have been few reports about its long-term recovering dynamics, especially its eco-benefits. ...
How Much of Monthly Subsurface Temperature Variability in the Equatorial Pacific Can Be Recovered by the Specification of Sea Surface Temperatures?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he focus of the analysis is to investigate the question to what extent the specification of sea surface temperature (SST) in coupled model integration can impart realistic evolution of subsurface ocean temperature in the ...