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The Evaluation of Yes/No Forecasts for Scientific and Administrative Purposes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The basis upon which skill scores for evaluating yes/no categorical forecasts for scientific and administrative purposes depends is, discussed and many of the common discriminants (formulas from which skill scores are ...
Operational Consensus Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The objective consensus forecasting (OCF) system is an automated operational forecasting system that adapts to underlying numerical model upgrades within 30 days and generally outperforms direct model output (DMO) and model ...
The Application of Synoptic Stratification to Precipitation Forecasting in the Trade Wind Regime
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A 1129-day high quality rainfall dataset was collated, from the months of March to November 1993?97, where trade wind flow predominates across the northeast Queensland tropical coast. This dataset was matched with numerical ...
Consensus of Numerical Model Forecasts of Significant Wave Heights
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The operational consensus forecast (OCF) scheme uses past performance to bias correct and combine numerical forecasts to produce an improved forecast at locations where recent observations are available. Here, OCF uses ...
Consensus Forecasts of Modeled Wave Parameters
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The use of numerical guidance has become integral to the process of modern weather forecasting. Using various techniques, postprocessing of numerical model output has been shown to mitigate some of the deficiencies of these ...
Correcting Marine Surface Winds Simulated in Atmospheric Models Using Spatially and Temporally Varying Linear Regression
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the application of three different variations of linear-regression corrections to the surface marine winds from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology?s recently implemented operational atmospheric model. ...