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Initialization of an ENSO Forecast System Using a Parallelized Ensemble Filter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: As a first step toward coupled ocean?atmosphere data assimilation, a parallelized ensemble filter is implemented in a new stochastic hybrid coupled model. The model consists of a global version of the GFDL Modular Ocean ...
Sensitivity of Hybrid ENSO Models to Unresolved Atmospheric Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A common practice in the design of forecast models for ENSO is to couple ocean general circulation models to simple atmospheric models. Therefore, by construction these models (known as hybrid ENSO models) do not resolve ...
On the Seasonal Forecasting of Regional Tropical Cyclone Activity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ropical cyclones (TCs) are a hazard to life and property and a prominent element of the global climate system; therefore, understanding and predicting TC location, intensity, and frequency is of both societal and scientific ...