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Comparing PIREPs with NAWAU Turbulence and Icing Forecasts: Issues and Results
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Pilot reports of aircraft turbulence and icing were compared with forecasts of those phenomena from the National Aviation Weather Advisory Unit for a 45-day period in the winter of 1992. An observation-driven approach was ...
Evaluation of Short-Range Quantitative Precipitation Forecasts from a Time-Lagged Multimodel Ensemble
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Short-range quantitative precipitation forecasts (QPFs) and probabilistic QPFs (PQPFs) are investigated for a time-lagged multimodel ensemble forecast system. One of the advantages of such an ensemble forecast system is ...
The Use of a Modified Ebert–McBride Technique to Evaluate Mesoscale Model QPF as a Function of Convective System Morphology during IHOP 2002
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Ebert?McBride technique (EMT) is an entity-oriented method useful for quantitative precipitation verification. The EMT was modified to optimize its ability to identify contiguous rain areas (CRAs) during the 2002 ...
The DTC Ensembles Task: A New Testing and Evaluation Facility for Mesoscale Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society