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An Upper Limit to Seasonal Rainfall Predictability?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The asymptotic predictability of global land surface precipitation is estimated empirically at the seasonal time scale with lead times from 0 to 12 months. Predictability is defined as the unbiased estimate of predictive ...
Probabilistic Estimation of Multivariate Streamflow Using Independent Component Analysis and Climate Information
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A statistical estimation approach is presented and applied to multiple reservoir inflow series that form part of Sydney?s water supply system. The approach involves first identifying sources of interannual and interdecadal ...
Investigating the Mechanisms of Diurnal Rainfall Variability Using a Regional Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study investigates the ability of a regional climate model (RCM) to simulate the diurnal cycle of precipitation over southeast Australia, to provide a basis for understanding the mechanisms that drive diurnal variability. ...
The ENSO–Precipitation Teleconnection and Its Modulation by the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study evaluates the role of the interdecadal Pacific oscillation (IPO) in modulating the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO)?precipitation relationship. The standard IPO index is described together with several ...
Global Increasing Trends in Annual Maximum Daily Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study investigates the presence of trends in annual maximum daily precipitation time series obtained from a global dataset of 8326 high-quality land-based observing stations with more than 30 years of record over the ...
Impact of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation, Indian Ocean Dipole, and Southern Annular Mode on Daily to Subdaily Rainfall Characteristics in East Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he relationship between seasonal aggregate rainfall and large-scale climate modes, particularly the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO), has been the subject of a significant and ongoing research effort. However, relatively ...
An Assessment of GCM Skill in Simulating Persistence across Multiple Time Scales
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: limate change impact studies for water resource applications, such as the development of projections of reservoir yields or the assessment of likely frequency and amplitude of drought under a future climate, require that ...
Weather Types and Hourly to Multiday Rainfall Characteristics in Tropical Australia
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractSix weather types (WTs) are computed for tropical Australia during the wet season (November?March 1979?2015) using cluster analysis of 6-hourly low-level winds at 850 hPa. The WTs may be interpreted as a varying ...
A global, continental and regional analysis of changes in extreme precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper provides an updated analysis of observed changes in extreme precipitation using high quality station data up to 2018. We examine changes in extreme precipitation represented by annual maxima of one day (Rx1day) ...
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