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Challenges in Forecasting the 2011 Runoff Season in the Colorado Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: istorically large snowpack across the upper Colorado basin and the Great Basin in 2011 presented the potential for widespread and severe flooding. While widespread flooding did occur, its impacts were largely moderated ...
River Forecast Application for Water Management: Oil and Water?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: anaging water resources generally and managing reservoir operations specifically have been touted as opportunities for applying forecasts to improve decision making. Previous studies have shown that the application of ...
Climate Index Weighting Schemes for NWS ESP-Based Seasonal Volume Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study compares methods to incorporate climate information into the National Weather Service River Forecast System (NWSRFS). Three small-to-medium river subbasins following roughly along a longitude in the Colorado ...
Incorporating Medium-Range Numerical Weather Model Output into the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction System of the National Weather Service
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study introduces medium-range meteorological ensemble inputs of temperature and precipitation into the Ensemble Streamflow Prediction component of the National Weather Service River Forecast System (NWSRFS). The Climate ...
Effects of Spatial and Temporal Aggregation on the Accuracy of Statistically Downscaled Precipitation Estimates in the Upper Colorado River Basin
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To test the accuracy of statistically downscaled precipitation estimates from numerical weather prediction models, a set of experiments to study what space and time scales are appropriate to obtain downscaled precipitation ...
What Drives the Variability of Evaporative Demand across the Conterminous United States?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: o understand the sources of temporal and spatial variability of atmospheric evaporative demand across the conterminous United States (CONUS), a mean-value, second-moment uncertainty analysis is applied to a spatially ...
Application of Forecast Verification Science to Operational River Forecasting in the U.S. National Weather Service
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Forecast verification in operational hydrology has been very limited to date, mainly due to the complexity of verifying both forcing input forecasts and hydrologic forecasts on multiple space?time scales. However, forecast ...
Engaging with Users of Climate Information and the Coproduction of Knowledge
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWithin the realm of climate and environmental sciences, stakeholder engagement has traditionally been given a relative low priority in favor of generating tools, products, and services following the longstanding ...
Understanding Uncertainties in Future Colorado River Streamflow
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ado River is the primary water source for more than 30 million people in the United States and Mexico. Recent studies that project streamf low changes in the Colorado River all project annual declines, but the magnitude ...
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