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A Simple Pedagogical Model Linking Initial-Value Reliability with Trustworthiness in the Forced Climate Response
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAlthough the development of seamless prediction systems is becoming increasingly common, there is still confusion regarding the relevance of information from initial-value forecasts for assessing the trustworthiness ...
Contrasting El Niño–La Niña Predictability and Prediction Skill in 2-Year Reforecasts of the Twentieth Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Contrasting El Niño–La Niña Predictability and Prediction Skill in 2-Year Reforecasts of the Twentieth Century
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Toward Seamless Prediction: Calibration of Climate Change Projections Using Seasonal Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Trustworthy probabilistic projections of regional climate are essential for society to plan for future climate change, and yet, by the nonlinear nature of climate, finite computational models of climate are inherently ...