Abstract: A new barotropic prediction system for the tracks of tropical cyclones is presented. The system (referred to as WBAR) consists of an initialization procedure, a vortex enhancement scheme, and a shallow water model, formulated ...

Abstract: A new objective aid for operational probabilistic intensity (defined as maximum wind speed) prediction of tropical cyclones is presented. Based on statistical analyses of the performance of all operationally available ...

Abstract: A new objective aid for operational prediction of the positions of tropical cyclones is presented. Its method is based on a simple analysis of the performance of all operationally available numerical models during a training ...

Abstract: A new statistical ensemble prediction system for tropical cyclone tracks is presented. The system is based on a statistical analysis of the annual performance of numerical track prediction models, assuming that their ...

Abstract: A new Tropical Cyclone Limited Area Prediction System has been developed at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre. The features of the new prediction system can be summarized as follows: first, a 12-h, ...

Abstract: The Weber barotropic model (WBAR) was originally developed using predefined 850?200-hPa analyses and forecasts from the NCEP Global Forecasting System. The WBAR tropical cyclone (TC) track forecast performance was found ...

Abstract: NCEP?NCAR reanalyses have been used to investigate the impact of environmental wind shear on the intensity change of hurricane-strength tropical cyclones in the Australian region. A method of removing a symmetric vortex ...

Abstract: he Australian Community Climate and Earth System Simulator (ACCESS) has been adapted for operational and research applications on tropical cyclones. The base system runs at a resolution of 0.11° and 50 levels. The domain ...