Abstract: Australia typically experiences drought during El Niño, especially across the eastern two-thirds of the continent during austral spring (September?November). There have, however, been some interesting departures from this ...

Abstract: An El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) prediction system with a coupled general circulation model and an ocean data assimilation scheme has been developed at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre (BMRC). The ...

Abstract: The impact of stochastic intraseasonal variability on the onset of the 1997/98 El Niño was examined using a large ensemble of forecasts starting on 1 December 1996, produced using the Australian Bureau of Meteorology ...

Abstract: aturally occurring multi-year to decadal variability is evident in rainfall, temperature, severe weather and flood frequency around the globe. It is therefore important that we understand the cause of this variability and ...

Abstract: The relationship between variations of Indo-Pacific sea surface temperatures (SSTs) and Australian springtime rainfall over the last 30 years is investigated with a focus on predictability of inter?El Niño variations of ...