Abstract: Using currently available operational forecast datasets on the tracks and intensities of tropical cyclones over the Pacific Ocean for the years 1998, 1999, and 2000 a multimodel superensemble has been constructed following ...

Abstract: This paper addresses a procedure to extract error estimates for the physical and dynamical components of a forecast model. This is a two-step process in which contributions to the forecast tendencies from individual terms ...

Abstract: This paper addresses the anomaly correlation of the 500-hPa geopotential heights from a suite of global multimodels and from a model-weighted ensemble mean called the superensemble. This procedure follows a number of current ...

Abstract: This paper addresses real-time precipitation forecasts from a multianalysis?multimodel superensemble. The methodology for the construction of the superensemble forecasts follows previous recent publications on this topic. ...