Search
Now showing items 1-10 of 23
Low-Frequency Waves and Traveling Storm Tracks. Part I: Barotropic Component
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: We have documented with the observed Northern Hemispheric 500 mb geopotential height data for ten winter seasons that traveling storm tracks exist downstream of the troughs of traveling low-frequency waves. The relation ...
Frequency Waves and Traveling Storm Tracks. Part II: Three-Dimensional Structure
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A special composite technique (?phase shifting? method) that records both the low- and high-frequency transient activity throughout the troposphere in a framework moving with an individual low-frequency wave of 500-mb ...
Dynamical Decomposition of Low-Frequency Tendencies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A nearly complete vorticity equation is used to diagnose the tendency components of the low-frequency variations of the 500-mb streamfunction induced by various internal linear-nonlinear interaction processes. With the aid ...
Seasonal Redistribution and Conservation of Atmospheric Mass in a General Circulation Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A 10-year run was made with a reduced resolution (T40) version of NMC's medium range forecast model. The 12 monthly mean surface pressure fields averaged over 10 years are used to study the climatological seasonal ...
Why Do Forecasts for “Near Normal” Often Fail?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: It has been observed by many that skill of categorical forecasts, when decomposed into the contributions from each category separately, tends to be low, if not absent or negative, in the ?near normal? (N) category. We have ...
Monthly Precipitation-Temperature Relations and Temperature Prediction over the United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The monthly mean precipitation-air temperature (MMP-MMAT) relation over the United States has been examined by analyzing the observed MMP and MMAT during the period of 1931?87. The authors? main purpose is to examine the ...
Asymmetric Impact of Tropical SST Anomalies on Atmospheric Internal Variability over the North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A substantial asymmetric impact of tropical Pacific SST anomalies on the internal variability of the extratropical atmosphere is found. A variety of diagnoses is performed to help reveal the dynamical processes leading to ...
A Degeneracy in Cross-Validated Skill in Regression-based Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Highly negative skill scores may occur in regression-based experimental forecast trials in which the data being forecast are withheld in turn from a fixed sample, and the remaining data are used to develop regression ...
Toward Understanding the Causes of Low-Frequency Variability: The Interannual Standard Deviation of Monthly Mean 700-mb Height
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The field of standard deviation of monthly mean 700-mb geopotential height in the Northern Hemisphere for each of the 12 months over the 1950?1991 period, among other auxiliary statistics, is compiled in an atlas to which ...
Atmospheric Predictability of Seasonal, Annual, and Decadal Climate Means and the Role of the ENSO Cycle: A Model Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The characteristics of extratropical low-frequency variability are examined using a comprehensive atmospheric general circulation model. A large experiment consisting of 13 45-yr-long integrations forced by prescribed sea ...