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A Bayesian ANOVA Scheme for Calculating Climate Anomalies, with Applications to the Instrumental Temperature Record
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: limate datasets with both spatial and temporal components are often studied after removing from each time series a temporal mean calculated over a common reference interval, which is generally shorter than the overall ...
A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part I: Development and Applications to Paleoclimate Reconstruction Problems
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Reconstructing the spatial pattern of a climate field through time from a dataset of overlapping instrumental and climate proxy time series is a nontrivial statistical problem. The need to transform the proxy observations ...
A Bayesian Algorithm for Reconstructing Climate Anomalies in Space and Time. Part II: Comparison with the Regularized Expectation–Maximization Algorithm
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Part I presented a Bayesian algorithm for reconstructing climate anomalies in space and time (BARCAST). This method involves specifying simple parametric forms for the spatial covariance and temporal evolution of the climate ...
Comments on “Reconstructing the NH Mean Temperature: Can Underestimation of Trends and Variability Be Avoided?”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Seasonally Resolved Distributional Trends of North American Temperatures Show Contraction of Winter Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: here is considerable interest in determining whether recent changes in the temperature distribution extend beyond simple shifts in the mean. The authors present a framework based on quantile regression, wherein trends are ...
On Discriminating between GCM Forcing Configurations Using Bayesian Reconstructions of Late-Holocene Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: everal climate modeling groups have recently generated ensembles of last-millennium climate simulations under different forcing scenarios. These experiments represent an ideal opportunity to establish the baseline feasibility ...
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