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RISSeasonal Synchronization of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Niño Diversity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractRecently, a simple stochastic dynamical model was developed that automatically captures the diversity and intermittency of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in nature, where state-dependent stochastic wind bursts ...
Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Niño Diversity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractEl Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has significant impact on global climate and relevance for seasonal forecasts. Recently, a simple modeling framework was developed that captures the ENSO diversity, where ...
Impact of Sea Level Assimilation on ENSO Initialization and Prediction: The Role of the Sea Level Zonal Tilt and Zonal Mean
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: t present, most models forecasting the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) use data assimilation, which constrains models physics using available observations. In this article, an ENSO model of intermediate complexity is ...
Observations and Mechanisms of a Simple Stochastic Dynamical Model Capturing El Niño Diversity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractEl Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) has significant impact on global climate and relevance for seasonal forecasts. Recently, a simple modeling framework was developed that captures the ENSO diversity, where ...
An Asymptotic Expansion for the Recharge–Discharge Model of ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he dynamics of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) in the equatorial Pacific Ocean are largely associated with the slow thermocline adjustment at interannual and basin scales. This adjustment involves, among other things, ...
A Stochastic Skeleton Model for the MJO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO) is the dominant mode of variability in the tropical atmosphere on intraseasonal time scales and planetary spatial scales. Despite the primary importance of the MJO and the decades of ...
Sensitivity of ENSO to Stratification in a Recharge–Discharge Conceptual Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: l Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is driven by large-scale ocean?atmosphere interactions in the equatorial Pacific and is sensitive to change in the mean state. Whereas conceptual models of ENSO usually consider the depth ...
Influence of Recent Stratification Changes on ENSO Stability in a Conceptual Model of the Equatorial Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hanges in the mean circulation of the equatorial Pacific Ocean partly control the strong decadal modulation of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO). This relationship is considered from the linear stability of a conceptual ...