Abstract: Recently, a single-site stochastic precipitation model called ?the mixture of generalized chain-dependent processes conditioned on a climate variable? was developed. The model can effectively eliminate overdispersion?that ...

Abstract: The respective merits of statistical and regional modeling techniques for downscaling GCM predictions have been evaluated over New Zealand, a small mountainous country surrounded by ocean. The boundary conditions were ...

Abstract: The skill of two global numerical weather prediction models, the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) medium-range forecast model and the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) operational ...

Abstract: Regional climate trends are of interest both for understanding natural climate processes and as tests of anthropogenic climate change signatures. Relative to global trends, however, their detection is hampered by smaller ...