Abstract: There are now several kinds of probabilistic meteorology outlooks available to the water resource engineer or hydrologist. These outlooks are defined over different time periods at different lag times, and they forecast ...

Abstract: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Climate Prediction Center recently began issuing new multiple long-lead outlooks of meteorological probabilities. Operational hydrology approaches for generating ...

Abstract: Storm frequencies for the future are often estimated directly from past historical records of sufficient length. The estimation requires no detailed knowledge of the area's meteorology, but presumes it is unchanged in the ...

Abstract: This paper briefly summarizes an existing nonparametric method for using meteorology probability forecasts in operational hydrology and extends it for parametric estimation. The methodology builds a sample of possibilities ...

Abstract: The Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory (GLERL) has developed conceptual model‐based techniques for making outlooks of basin moisture conditions, basin runoff, water supplies, and lake levels several months into ...

Abstract: We present a case study of modifying an existing macroscale rainfall-runoff model, the large basin runoff model (LBRM), developed at NOAA’s Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory, to the microscale in a two-dimensional ...

Abstract: We present new developments to the original, spatially lumped large basin runoff model (LBRM) of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration’s Great Lakes Environmental Research Laboratory. In addition to making ...

Abstract: Following the derivation of a distributed-parameter large basin runoff model from a lumped-parameter version for the Great Lakes in the companion paper, we here apply it to the Kalamazoo River watershed in southwest Michigan. ...

Abstract: When we consider a location with a material (e.g., water, pollutant, sediment) passing through it, we can ask: “Where did the material come from and how long did it take to reach the location?” We can quantify the answer ...

Abstract: The distributed large basin runoff model (DLBRM) was designed to simulate the hydrological processes of the Great Lakes watersheds. As part of its development, the DLBRM was recently applied to 18 watersheds in the Lake ...