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CLIVAR Workshop on Atlantic Climate Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Decadal Predictability of the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled GCM: Forecast Skill and Optimal Perturbations Using Linear Inverse Modeling
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The decadal predictability of three-dimensional Atlantic Ocean anomalies is examined in a coupled global climate model [the third climate configuration of the Met Office Unified Model (HadCM3)] using a linear inverse ...
Connecting Climate Model Projections of Global Temperature Change with the Real World
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: urrent state-of-the-art global climate models produce different values for Earth?s mean temperature. When comparing simulations with each other and with observations, it is standard practice to compare temperature anomalies ...
The Potential to Narrow Uncertainty in Regional Climate Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Faced by the realities of a changing climate, decision makers in a wide variety of organizations are increasingly seeking quantitative predictions of regional and local climate. An important issue for these decision makers, ...
The Interannual Variability of Energy Transports within and over the Atlantic Ocean in a Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: To gain a new perspective on the interaction of the Atlantic Ocean and the atmosphere, the relationship between the atmospheric and oceanic meridional energy transports is studied in a version of HadCM3, the U.K. Hadley ...
Bjerknes Compensation and the Decadal Variability of the Energy Transports in a Coupled Climate Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In the 1960s, Jacob Bjerknes suggested that if the top-of-the-atmosphere (TOA) fluxes and the oceanic heat storage did not vary too much, then the total energy transport by the climate system would not vary too much either. ...
Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Processes and European Climate (COAPEC): Improved Understanding of the Coupled Climate System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Estimating Climatically Relevant Singular Vectors for Decadal Predictions of the Atlantic Ocean
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A key aspect in designing an efficient decadal prediction system is ensuring that the uncertainty in the ocean initial conditions is sampled optimally. Here one strategy for addressing this issue is considered by investigating ...
Mechanism of Interdecadal Thermohaline Circulation Variability in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Interdecadal variability of the Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC) is studied in the third version of the Hadley Centre global coupled atmosphere?ocean sea-ice general circulation model (HadCM3). A diagnostic approach ...
Enhancement of ENSO Variability by a Weakened Atlantic Thermohaline Circulation in a Coupled GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A coupled ocean?atmosphere general circulation model is used to investigate the modulation of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability due to a weakened Atlantic thermohaline circulation (THC). The THC weakening is ...
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