Abstract: Three 20-day winter forecasts have been carried out using the Florida State University Global Spectral Model to examine the systematic errors of the model. Most general circulation models and global forecast models exhibit ...

Abstract: An evaluation of the performance of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction Medium-Range Forecast Model was made for the large-scale tropical forecasts and hurricane track forecasts during the 1995 hurricane ...

Abstract: This paper presents some recent results on physical initialization from the use of a very high resolution global model. Fundamentally this procedure improves the model-based initial rainfall, surface fluxes, and diagnostic ...

Abstract: Ensemble forecasting of hurricane tracks is an emerging area in numerical weather prediction. In this paper, the spread of the ensemble of forecast tracks from a family of different First Global GARP (Global Atmospheric ...

Abstract: In 2005, NOAA's Hurricane Research Division (HRD), part of the Atlantic Oceanographic and Meteorological Laboratory, began a multiyear experiment called the Intensity Forecasting Experiment (IFEX). By emphasizing a partnership ...