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RISA 10–15-Yr Modulation Cycle of ENSO Intensity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study examines the slow modulation of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) intensity and its underlying mechanism. A 10?15-yr ENSO intensity modulation cycle is identified from historical and paleoclimate data by ...
A Hybrid Dynamical–Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part II: End-of-Century Warming Projections Predict a New Climate State in the Los Angeles Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: sing the hybrid downscaling technique developed in part I of this study, temperature changes relative to a baseline period (1981?2000) in the greater Los Angeles region are downscaled for two future time slices: midcentury ...
Significant and Inevitable End-of-Twenty-First-Century Advances in Surface Runoff Timing in California’s Sierra Nevada
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractUsing hybrid dynamical?statistical downscaling, 3-km-resolution end-of-twenty-first-century runoff timing changes over California?s Sierra Nevada for all available global climate models (GCMs) from phase 5 of the ...
Contributions of Indian Ocean and Monsoon Biases to the Excessive Biennial ENSO in CCSM3
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Community Climate System Model, version 3 (CCSM3), is known to produce many aspects of El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) realistically, but the simulated ENSO exhibits an overly strong biennial periodicity. Hypotheses ...
A Hybrid Dynamical–Statistical Downscaling Technique. Part I: Development and Validation of the Technique
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n this study (Part I), the mid-twenty-first-century surface air temperature increase in the entire CMIP5 ensemble is downscaled to very high resolution (2 km) over the Los Angeles region, using a new hybrid dynamical?statistical ...
Potential Large-Scale Forcing Mechanisms Driving Enhanced North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity since the Mid-1990s
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA significant increase of tropical cyclone (TC) frequency is observed over the North Atlantic (NATL) basin during the recent decades (1995?2014). In this study, the changes in large-scale controls of the NATL TC ...
Incorporating Snow Albedo Feedback into Downscaled Temperature and Snow Cover Projections for California’s Sierra Nevada
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractCalifornia?s Sierra Nevada is a high-elevation mountain range with significant seasonal snow cover. Under anthropogenic climate change, amplification of the warming is expected to occur at elevations near snow ...
Twenty-First-Century Precipitation Changes over the Los Angeles Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: new hybrid statistical?dynamical downscaling technique is described to project mid- and end-of-twenty-first-century local precipitation changes associated with 36 global climate models (GCMs) in phase 5 of the Coupled Model ...
Twenty-First-Century Snowfall and Snowpack Changes over the Southern California Mountains
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uture snowfall and snowpack changes over the mountains of Southern California are projected using a new hybrid dynamical?statistical framework. Output from all general circulation models (GCMs) in phase 5 of the Coupled ...