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Dynamical Predictability in a Simple General Circulation Model: Average Error Growth
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Average predictability and error growth are studied in a realistic two-level general circulation model of the atmosphere via a series of Monte Carlo experiments for fixed external forcing (perpetual winter in the Northern ...
Vertical Differencing of the Primitive Equations in Sigma Coordinates
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A vertical finite-difference scheme for the primitive equations in sigma coordinates is obtained by requiring that the discrete equations retain some important properties of the continuous equations. A family of schemes ...
Relaxed Arakawa-Schubert. A Parameterization of Moist Convection for General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A simple implementation of the Arakawa and Schubert (1974) cumulus parameterization is presented. The major simplification made is to ?relax?the state toward equilibrium each time the parameterization is invoked, rather ...
A Delayed Action Oscillator for ENSO
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A simple nonlinear model is proposed for the El Niño/Southern Oscillation (ENSO) phenomenon. Its key feature is the inclusion of oceanic wave transit effects through a negative, delayed feedback. A linear stability analysis ...
Soil Moisture Memory in Climate Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Water balance considerations at the soil surface lead to an equation that relates the autocorrelation of soil moisture in climate models to 1) seasonality in the statistics of the atmospheric forcing, 2) the variation of ...
Impact of Land Surface Initialization on Seasonal Precipitation and Temperature Prediction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The potential role of land initialization in seasonal forecasting is illustrated through ensembles of simulations with the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) model. For each boreal summer during ...
Vacillations in a Coupled Ocean–Atmosphere Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Results are presented from a 35-year integration of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model. Both ocean and atmosphere are two-level, nonlinear primitive equations models. The global atmospheric model is forced by a steady, zonally ...
A Proposal for the Intercomparison of the Dynamical Cores of Atmospheric General Circulation Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A benchmark calculation is proposed for evaluating the dynamical cores of atmospheric general circulation models independently of the physical parameterizations. The test focuses on the long-term statistical properties of ...
Attribution of the Extreme U.S. East Coast Snowstorm Activity of 2010
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study examines the cause of the extreme snowstorm activity along the U.S. East Coast during the winter of 2009/10 with a focus on the role of sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies. The study employs the Goddard Earth ...
On the Dynamics of Stratocumulus Formation and Dissipation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Result obtained with a mixed layer model are used to study the dynamics of stratomulus formation and dissipation in subtropical marine stratocumulus cloud regimes. The model used allows entrainment to be driven by shear ...