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An Assessment of the Quality of Forecast Trajectories
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Forecast and ?analysis? (reference) trajectories were computed from six sites over North America at three altitudes (500, 1000, and 1500 m above ground) twice a day for a one-year period using Nested Grid Model wind fields. ...
Modeling the CAPTEX Vertical Tracer Concentration Profiles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Perfluorocarbon tracer concentration profiles measured by aircraft 600?900 km downwind of the release locations during CAPTEX are discussed and compared with some model results. In general, the concentrations decreased ...
Volcanic Ash Forecast Transport And Dispersion (VAFTAD) Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Air Resources Laboratory (ARL) has developed a Volcanic Ash Forecast Transport And Dispersion (VAFTAD) model for emergency response use focusing on hazards to ...
Long-Range Forecast Trajectories of Volcanic Ash from Redoubt Ash from Redoubt Volcano Eruptions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Redoubt Volcano in Alaska began a series of eruptions on 14 December 1989. Volcanic ash was often reported to reach heights where, as it moved with the upper-level flow, it could affect aircraft operations thousands ...
Airborne Volcanic Ash Forecast Area Reliability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In support of aircraft flight safety operations, daily comparisons between modeled, hypothetical, volcanic ash plumes calculated with meteorological forecasts and analyses were made over a 1.5-yr period. The Hybrid ...
Verification of the NOAA Smoke Forecasting System: Model Sensitivity to the Injection Height
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A detailed evaluation of NOAA?s Smoke Forecasting System (SFS) is a fundamental part of its development and further refinement. In this work, particulate matter with a diameter less than or equal to 2.5-?m (PM2.5) concentration ...