Abstract: The 2000 tropical cyclone season over the South Indian Ocean (SIO) was exceptional in terms of tropical cyclone landfall over Mozambique. Observed data suggest that SIO tropical cyclones have a track significantly more ...

Abstract: Determining how El Niño and its impacts may change over the next 10 to 100 years remains a difficult scientific challenge. Ocean?atmosphere coupled general circulation models (CGCMs) are routinely used both to analyze El ...

Abstract: This paper is an evaluation of the role of salinity in the framework of temperature data assimilation in a global ocean model that is used to initialize seasonal climate forecasts. It is shown that the univariate assimilation ...

Abstract: he first multimodel study to estimate the predictability of a boreal sudden stratospheric warming (SSW) is performed using five NWP systems. During the 2012/13 boreal winter, anomalous upward propagating planetary wave ...