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Analysis of Low-Frequency Precipitation Variability in CMIP5 Historical Simulations for Southwestern North America
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: rier future conditions are projected for the arid southwest of North America, increasing the chances of the region experiencing severe and prolonged drought. To examine the mechanisms of decadal variability, 47 global ...
Understanding the ENSO–CO2 Link Using Stabilized Climate Simulations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he influence of atmospheric CO2 concentration on the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is explored using 800-yr integrations of the NCAR Community Climate System Model, version 3.5 (CCSM3.5), with CO2 stabilized at the ...
“El Niño Like” Hydroclimate Responses to Last Millennium Volcanic Eruptions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he hydroclimate response to volcanic eruptions depends both on volcanically induced changes to the hydrologic cycle and on teleconnections with the El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO), complicating the interpretation of ...
Tropical Pacific Decadal Variability and ENSO Precursor in CMIP5 Models
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Imprint of the Pacific Walker Circulation in Global Precipitation δ18O
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
ENSO Model Validation Using Wavelet Probability Analysis
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A new method to quantify changes in El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) variability is presented, using the overlap between probability distributions of the wavelet spectrum as measured by the wavelet probability index ...
Will There Be a Significant Change to El Niño in the Twenty-First Century?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he El Niño?Southern Oscillation (ENSO) response to anthropogenic climate change is assessed in the following 1° nominal resolution Community Climate System Model, version 4 (CCSM4) Coupled Model Intercomparison Project ...
Stochastically Generated North American Megadroughts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he importance of interannual-to-decadal sea surface temperature (SST) influences on drought in the United States is examined using a suite of simulations conducted with the T31?3 resolution version of the NCAR Community ...
Understanding Diverse Model Projections of Future Extreme El Niño
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Mean Biases, Variability, and Trends in Air–Sea Fluxes and Sea Surface Temperature in the CCSM4
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ir?sea fluxes from the Community Climate System Model version 4 (CCSM4) are compared with the Coordinated Ocean-Ice Reference Experiment (CORE) dataset to assess present-day mean biases, variability errors, and late ...