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Separating Internal Variability from the Externally Forced Climate Response
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: eparating low-frequency internal variability of the climate system from the forced signal is essential to better understand anthropogenic climate change as well as internal climate variability. Here both synthetic time ...
On the Choice of Ensemble Mean for Estimating the Forced Signal in the Presence of Internal Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn this paper we examine various options for the calculation of the forced signal in climate model simulations, and the impact these choices have on the estimates of internal variability. We find that an ensemble ...
Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractLow-frequency internal climate variability (ICV) plays an important role in modulating global surface temperature, regional climate, and climate extremes. However, it has not been completely characterized in the ...
Reply to “Comment on ‘Comparison of Low-Frequency Internal Climate Variability in CMIP5 Models and Observations’”
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn a comment on a 2017 paper by Cheung et al., Kravtsov states that the results of Cheung et al. are invalidated by errors in the method used to estimate internal variability in historical surface temperatures, ...
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