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Interpretation of Seasonal Climate Forecast Using Brier Skill Score, The Florida State University Superensemble, and the AMIP-I Dataset
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The superensemble technique has been proven to be successful in producing a deterministic forecast superior not only to any of the individual models going into it, but also to the multimodel ensemble forecast. Research so ...
Improvement of the Multimodel Superensemble Technique for Seasonal Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The superensemble technique has previously been demonstrated to provide an improved seasonal forecast compared to the bias-removed ensemble of equally weighted models. This paper offers a further improvement to the ...
The Hurricane Intensity Issue
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The intensity issue of hurricanes is addressed in this paper using the angular momentum budget of a hurricane in storm-relative cylindrical coordinates and a scale-interaction approach. In the angular momentum budget in ...
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