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RISEnhancement of ARM Surface Meteorological Observations during the Fall 1996 Water Vapor Intensive Observation Period
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This work describes in situ moisture sensor comparisons that were performed in conjunction with the first Water Vapor Intensive Observation Period (IOP) conducted at the Atmospheric Radiation Measurement (ARM) Program ...
A Fetch-Based Statistical Method to Bias Correct and Downscale Wind Speed over Unresolved Water Bodies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis paper presents a method to bias correct and downscale wind speed over water bodies that are unresolved by numerical weather prediction (NWP) models and analyses. The dependency of wind speeds over water bodies ...
Statistically and Dynamically Downscaled, Calibrated, Probabilistic 10-m Wind Vector Forecasts Using Ensemble Model Output Statistics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA computationally efficient method is developed that performs gridded postprocessing of ensemble 10-m wind vector forecasts. An expansive set of idealized WRF Model simulations are generated to provide physically ...
The Impact of High-Resolution Sea Surface Temperatures on the Simulated Nocturnal Florida Marine Boundary Layer
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: High- and low-resolution sea surface temperature (SST) analysis products are used to initialize the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model for May 2004 for short-term forecasts over Florida and surrounding waters. ...
Evaluation of a Wind-Wave System for Ensemble Tropical Cyclone Wave Forecasting. Part I: Winds
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: computationally efficient method of producing tropical cyclone (TC) wind analyses is developed and tested, using a hindcast methodology, for 12 Gulf of Mexico storms. The analyses are created by blending synthetic data, ...
Evaluation of the National Hurricane Center’s Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Probability Forecast Product
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A tropical cyclone (TC) wind speed probability forecast product developed at the Cooperative Institute for Research in the Atmosphere (CIRA) and adopted by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) is evaluated for U.S. ...
Probability Distributions and Threshold Selection for Monte Carlo–Type Tropical Cyclone Wind Speed Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: robabilistic wind speed forecasts for tropical cyclones from Monte Carlo?type simulations are assessed within a theoretical framework for a simple unbiased Gaussian system that is based on feature size and location error ...
Distinguishing Characteristics of the Tropical Cyclone Gigantic Jet Environment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Evaluation of a Wind-Wave System for Ensemble Tropical Cyclone Wave Forecasting. Part II: Waves
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: wind-wave forecast system, designed with the intention of generating unbiased ensemble wave forecasts for extreme wind events, is assessed. Wave hindcasts for 12 tropical cyclones (TCs) are forced using a wind analysis ...
Real-Time, High-Resolution, Space–Time Analysis of Sea Surface Temperatures from Multiple Platforms
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A sea surface temperature (SST) analysis system designed to initialize short-term atmospheric model forecasts is evaluated for a month-long, relatively clear period in May 2004. System inputs include retrieved SSTs from ...