Abstract: There is much evidence that El Niño and La Niña lead to significant atmospheric seasonal predictability across much of the globe. However, despite successful predictions of tropical Pacific SSTs, atmospheric seasonal ...

Abstract: Here the factors affecting the mean state and El Niño variability in the Third Hadley Centre Coupled Ocean?Atmosphere General Circulation Model (HadCM3) are examined with and without heat flux or wind stress corrections. ...

Abstract: In this study, the mechanisms leading to the El Niño peak and demise are explored through a coupled general circulation model ensemble approach evaluated against observations. The results here suggest that the timing of ...

Abstract: Prediction of Indian Ocean interannual variability may be limited by the systematic biases in coupled GCMs or by a lack of resolution of the processes involved. In particular, little is known about the impact of ocean ...