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Predictable Climate Impacts of the Decadal Changes in the Ocean in the 1990s
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: uring the 1990s there was a major change in the state of the world's oceans. In particular, the North Atlantic underwent a rapid warming, with sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the subpolar gyre region increasing by 1°C ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Decadal Evolution of Ocean Thermal Anomalies in the North Atlantic: The Effects of Ekman, Overturning, and Horizontal Transport
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: asin-scale thermal anomalies in the North Atlantic, extending to depths of 1?2 km, are more pronounced than the background warming over the last 60 years. A dynamical analysis based on reanalyses of historical data from ...
The Interpretation and Use of Biases in Decadal Climate Predictions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ecadal climate predictions exhibit large biases, which are often subtracted and forgotten. However, understanding the causes of bias is essential to guide efforts to improve prediction systems, and may offer additional ...
Mechanisms of Heat Content and Thermocline Change in the Subtropical and Subpolar North Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n the North Atlantic, there are pronounced gyre-scale changes in ocean heat content on interannual-to-decadal time scales, which are associated with changes in both sea surface temperature and thermocline thickness; the ...
A Decadal Climate Service for Insurance: Skillful Multiyear Predictions of North Atlantic Hurricane Activity and U.S. Hurricane Damage
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Causes of the Rapid Warming of the North Atlantic Ocean in the Mid-1990s
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n the mid-1990s, the subpolar gyre of the North Atlantic underwent a remarkable rapid warming, with sea surface temperatures increasing by around 1°C in just 2 yr. This rapid warming followed a prolonged positive phase of ...
Can a Decadal Forecasting System Predict Temperature Extreme Indices?
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: aily maximum and minimum summer temperatures have increased throughout the majority of Europe over the past few decades, along with the frequency and intensity of heat waves. It is essential to learn whether this rise is ...
Atmospheric response to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice: the importance of ocean-atmosphere coupling and the background state
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he atmospheric response to Arctic and Antarctic sea ice changes typical of the present day and coming decades is investigated using the Hadley Centre global climate model (HadGEM3). The response is diagnosed from ensemble ...
Corrigendum
Publisher: American Meteorological Society