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RISDesert Air Incursions, an Overlooked Aspect, for the Dry Spells of the Indian Summer Monsoon
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The year 2009 was a major drought year for the Indian summer monsoon with a seasonal deficit of rainfall by 21.6%. Standard oceanic predictors such as ENSO and the Indian Ocean dipole are not consistent for these dry spells. ...
A Pathway Connecting the Monsoonal Heating to the Rapid Arctic Ice Melt
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study provides a monsoonal link to the rapid Arctic ice melt. Each year the planetary-scale African?Asian monsoonal outflow near the tropopause carries a large anticyclonic gyre that has a longitudinal spread that ...
Use of APHRODITE Rain Gauge–Based Precipitation and TRMM 3B43 Products for Improving Asian Monsoon Seasonal Precipitation Forecasts by the Superensemble Method
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: multimodel superensemble developed by the Florida State University combines multiple model forecasts based on their past performance (training phase) to make a consensus forecast. Because observed precipitation reflects ...
A Mechanism of the MJO Invoking Scale Interactions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: ter distinguishes the mechanism of tropical convective disturbances, such as a hurricane, from that of the Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO). The hurricane is maintained by organized convection around the azimuth. In a ...
Modeling of Forecast Sensitivity on the March of Monsoon Isochrones from Kerala to New Delhi: The First 25 Days
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: his study addresses observational and modeling sensitivity on the march of the onset isochrones of the Indian summer monsoon. The first 25 days of the passage of the isochrones of monsoon onset is of great scientific ...
A Description of the Real-Time HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Guidance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study discusses the development of the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) for tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts. The HCCA technique relies on the ...