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Evaluation of Wave Forecasts Consistent with Tropical Cyclone Warning Center Wind Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n algorithm to generate wave fields consistent with forecasts from the official U.S. tropical cyclone forecast centers has been made available in near?real time to forecasters since summer 2007. The algorithm removes the ...
Inducing Tropical Cyclones to Undergo Brownian Motion: A Comparison between Itô and Stratonovich in a Numerical Weather Prediction Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: tochastic parameterization has become commonplace in numerical weather prediction (NWP) models used for probabilistic prediction. Here a specific stochastic parameterization will be related to the theory of stochastic ...
Evaluation of Global Wave Probabilities Consistent with Official Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Impact of Resolution and Design on the U.S. Navy Global Ensemble Performance in the Tropics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he performance of the U.S. Navy global atmospheric ensemble prediction system is examined with a focus on tropical winds and tropical cyclone tracks. Ensembles are run at a triangular truncation of T119, T159, and T239, ...
Tropical Cyclone Gale Wind Radii Estimates, Forecasts, and Error Forecasts for the Western North Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractIn 2016, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center extended forecasts of gale-force and other wind radii to 5 days. That effort and a thrust to perform postseason analysis of gale-force wind radii for the ?best tracks? (the ...