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A Statistical-Dynamical Study of Empirically Determined Modes of Atmospheric Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The observed wintertime intraseasonal variability of the Northern Hemisphere midtropospheric circulation is analyzed within the framework of an equivalent barotropic model. The analysis centers on the wave domain empirical ...
The Structure, Energetics and Evolution of the Dominant Frequency-Dependent Three-Dimensional Atmospheric Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The winter-time circulation of the Northern Hemisphere is examined for the following time-scale classes. A) greater than 45 days, B)20?45 days C) 10?20 days D) 6?10 days and E) 2.5&ndash 6 days. The spatial structure of ...
Dynamical Predictability in a Simple General Circulation Model: Average Error Growth
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Average predictability and error growth are studied in a realistic two-level general circulation model of the atmosphere via a series of Monte Carlo experiments for fixed external forcing (perpetual winter in the Northern ...
Low-Frequency Intraseasonal Tropical-Extratropical Interactions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Low-frequency (20?70 day) variability is examined during Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter based on seven Years (1981?87) of European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts initialized analyses. The dominant 200 mb zonal ...
Precipitation Recycling over the Central United States Diagnosed from the GEOS-1 Data Assimilation System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Precipitation recycling has been computed for 15 yr of reanalysis data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-1) Data Assimilation System using monthly mean hydrological ...
Regional Earth-Atmosphere Energy Balance Estimates Based on Assimilations with a GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The column budget technique described by Oort and Vonder Haar (1976) is used to assess the physical consistency and accuracy of estimates of the earth-atmosphere energy balance. Regional estimates of the atmospheric budget ...
Remotely Forced Intraseasonal Oscillations over the Tropical Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Intraseasonal (20?70 day) variability is examined in the Atlantic region during Northern Hemisphere winter using ECMWF analyses and NOAA outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). It is found that the dominant 200-mb zonal-wind ...
Heat Balance Statistics Derived from Four-Dimensional Assimilations with a Global Circulation Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A method is demonstrated for evaluating global and zonally averaged heat balance statistics based on a four-dimensional assimilation with an atmospheric general circulation model (GCM). The procedure, which provides ...
On the Nature of the 1994 East Asian Summer Drought
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: East Asian countries experienced record-breaking heat waves and drought conditions during the summer monsoon season of 1994. This study documents the large-scale circulation associated with the drought and suggests a forcing ...
Water Vapor Tracers as Diagnostics of the Regional Hydrologic Cycle
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Numerous studies suggest that local feedback of surface evaporation on precipitation, known recycling, is a significant source of water for precipitation. Quantitative results on the exact amount of recycling have been ...