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A Statistical-Dynamical Study of Empirically Determined Modes of Atmospheric Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The observed wintertime intraseasonal variability of the Northern Hemisphere midtropospheric circulation is analyzed within the framework of an equivalent barotropic model. The analysis centers on the wave domain empirical ...
The Climate Signal in Regional Moisture Fluxes: A Comparison of Three Global Data Assimilation Products
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study assesses the quality of estimates of climate variability in moisture flux and convergence from threeassimilated datasets: two are reanalysis products generated at the Goddard Data Assimilation Office and theNational ...
The Precipitation Response over the Continental United States to Cold Tropical Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he dominant pattern of SST variability in the Pacific during its cold phase produces pronounced precipitation deficits over the continental United States throughout the annual cycle. This study investigates the observed ...
The Structure, Energetics and Evolution of the Dominant Frequency-Dependent Three-Dimensional Atmospheric Modes
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The winter-time circulation of the Northern Hemisphere is examined for the following time-scale classes. A) greater than 45 days, B)20?45 days C) 10?20 days D) 6?10 days and E) 2.5&ndash 6 days. The spatial structure of ...
An Objective Method for Inferring Sources of Model Error
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A restricted statistical correction (RSC) approach is introduced to assess the sources of error in general circulation models (GCMs). RSC models short-term forecast error by considering linear transformations of the GCM's ...
Dynamical Predictability in a Simple General Circulation Model: Average Error Growth
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Average predictability and error growth are studied in a realistic two-level general circulation model of the atmosphere via a series of Monte Carlo experiments for fixed external forcing (perpetual winter in the Northern ...
Low-Frequency Intraseasonal Tropical-Extratropical Interactions
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Low-frequency (20?70 day) variability is examined during Northern Hemisphere (NH) winter based on seven Years (1981?87) of European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts initialized analyses. The dominant 200 mb zonal ...
Precipitation Recycling over the Central United States Diagnosed from the GEOS-1 Data Assimilation System
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Precipitation recycling has been computed for 15 yr of reanalysis data from the National Aeronautics and Space Administration Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-1) Data Assimilation System using monthly mean hydrological ...
Regional Earth-Atmosphere Energy Balance Estimates Based on Assimilations with a GCM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The column budget technique described by Oort and Vonder Haar (1976) is used to assess the physical consistency and accuracy of estimates of the earth-atmosphere energy balance. Regional estimates of the atmospheric budget ...
Remotely Forced Intraseasonal Oscillations over the Tropical Atlantic
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Intraseasonal (20?70 day) variability is examined in the Atlantic region during Northern Hemisphere winter using ECMWF analyses and NOAA outgoing longwave radiation (OLR). It is found that the dominant 200-mb zonal-wind ...
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