Abstract: The subjective process of probability forecasting is analyzed. It is found to contain a sorling aspect, in which the forecaster distributes all instances into an ordered set of categories of likelihood of occurrence, and ...

Abstract: tract

Abstract: Brier's scoring procedure for the evaluation of probability statements is analyzed to show two important aspects of the forecasting process. The first is a sorting process in which the forecaster assigns each prediction ...

Abstract: No abstract available.

Abstract: Estimates of skill in prediction of daily temperature and precipitation are obtained from a six-year record of real-time forecasts for Boston made in the Department of Meteorology at Massachusetts Institute of Technology. ...

Abstract: In an attempt to define human needs toward which resources in the atmospheric sciences ought to be directed, a compilation is made of a recent seven-year total of deaths, injuries, and damages attributed in ESSA's Storm ...

Abstract: Forecasts of minimum temperature and precipitation amount at Boston have been made and evaluated in the Department of Meteorology, MIT, in essentially the same format since 1966. These forecasts refer to the first through ...

Abstract: Present surface frontal analyses suffer from the defect that frontal positions are typically not collocated with zones of intense temperature contrast. Further, individuals typically do not agree as to the existence, type, ...

Abstract: A heavy rainstorm over Kentucky, producing extensive flooding, was concentrated in a narrow band oriented nearly zonally just south of the Ohio River. Analysis of routine surface observations showed that an intense ...

Abstract: Quasi-geostrophic diagnosis of the fields of vertical motion and streamfunction tendency, based on wind analysis, was undertaken for the monsoon depression of 5?8 July 1979, a uniquely well-observed case during Summer ...