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A Theory for the Seasonal Predictability Barrier: Threshold, Timing, and Intensity
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A theory is developed in a stochastic climate model for understanding the general features of the seasonal predictability barrier (PB), which is characterized by a band of maximum decline in autocorrelation function ...
Dynamic Causes of ENSO Decay and Its Asymmetry
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Origin of the Intraseasonal Variability over the North Pacific in Boreal Summer
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he spatial structure and temporal evolution of the intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) in boreal summer over the midlatitude North Pacific Ocean are investigated, through the diagnosis of NCEP reanalysis data. It is found that ...
Sea Surface Temperature in the Subtropical Pacific Boosted the 2015 El Niño and Hindered the 2016 La Niña
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractAfter the quick decaying of the 2015 super El Niño, the predicted La Niña unexpectedly failed to materialize to the anticipated standard in 2016. Diagnostic analyses, as well as numerical experiments, showed that ...
Causes of the El Niño and La Niña Amplitude Asymmetry in the Equatorial Eastern Pacific
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The amplitude asymmetry between El Niño and La Niña is investigated by diagnosing the mixed-layer heat budget during the ENSO developing phase by using the three ocean assimilation products: Simple Ocean Data Assimilation ...
CORRIGENDUM
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
How Well Can a Climate Model Simulate an Extreme Precipitation Event: A Case Study Using the Transpose-AMIP Experiment
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractA high-impact extreme precipitation event over the Yangtze River valley (YRV) in the midsummer of 2016 is simulated using the Climate System Model of Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences (CAMS-CSM). After ...
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