Abstract: Difficulties associated with the teaching of complex subjects such as the atmospheric sciences create obstacles to learning and lead to relatively high rates of student attrition. An exploration of the role of mismatches ...

Abstract: Statistical analysis of cyclone deepening rates has been used in the past to infer distinctions between physical processes operative in cases of explosive cyclogenesis and lesser storms. This note attempts to qualify the ...

Abstract: Simulated evolution is used to generate consensus forecasts of next-day minimum temperature for a site in Ohio. The evolved forecast algorithm logic is interpretable in terms of physics that might be accounted for by ...

Abstract: A structurally simple analytic quasi-geostrophic model is used to investigate the role of diabatic process resulting from surface fluxes of heat and moisture associated with ocean current meanders in midlatitude maritime ...

Abstract: A diagnostic study of two, successive operational model forecasts of a case of explosive cyclogenesis is presented, with the goal of understanding the rather substantial differences in the simulations. The rapid cyclogenesis, ...

Abstract: volutionary program ensembles are developed and tested for minimum temperature forecasts at Chicago, Illinois, at forecast ranges of 36, 60, 84, 108, 132, and 156 h. For all forecast ranges examined, the evolutionary program ...

Abstract: revious work has shown that evolutionary programming is an effective method for constructing skillful forecast ensembles. Here, two prototype adaptive methods are developed and tested, using minimum temperature forecast ...

Abstract: n ensemble forecast method using evolutionary programming, including various forms of genetic exchange, disease, mutation, and the training of solutions within ecological niches, is presented. A 2344-member ensemble generated ...

Abstract: The level of variability present in operational model simulations of marine cyclogenesis was examined. Successive forecasts valid for the same 12-h time period of analysed maximum cyclone central pressure fall from the ...

Abstract: An investigation into the manner in which forecasters adjust their reliance on particular pieces of forecast information as the large-scale flow pattern evolves into different regimes, and the relationship between those ...