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    Scale-Selective Verification of Rainfall Accumulations from High-Resolution Forecasts of Convective Events 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2008:;volume( 136 ):;issue: 001:;page 78
    Author(s): Roberts, Nigel M.; Lean, Humphrey W.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: The development of NWP models with grid spacing down to ?1 km should produce more realistic forecasts of convective storms. However, greater realism does not necessarily mean more accurate precipitation forecasts. The rapid ...
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    The Surprising Role of Orography in the Initiation of an Isolated Thunderstorm in Southern England 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2009:;volume( 137 ):;issue: 009:;page 3026
    Author(s): Lean, Humphrey W.; Roberts, Nigel M.; Clark, Peter A.; Morcrette, Cyril
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Many factors, both mesoscale and larger scale, often come together in order for a particular convective initiation to take place. The authors describe a modeling study of a case from the Convective Storms Initiation Project ...
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    Realism of Rainfall in a Very High-Resolution Regional Climate Model 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2012:;volume( 025 ):;issue: 017:;page 5791
    Author(s): Kendon, Elizabeth J.; Roberts, Nigel M.; Senior, Catherine A.; Roberts, Malcolm J.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: he realistic representation of rainfall on the local scale in climate models remains a key challenge. Realism encompasses the full spatial and temporal structure of rainfall, and is a key indicator of model skill in ...
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    Predictability of Frontal Waves and Cyclones 

    Source: Weather and Forecasting:;2015:;volume( 030 ):;issue: 005:;page 1291
    Author(s): Frame, Thomas H. A.; Methven, John; Roberts, Nigel M.; Titley, Helen A.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: he statistical properties and skill in predictions of objectively identified and tracked cyclonic features (frontal waves and cyclones) are examined in the 15-day version of the Met Office Global and Regional Ensemble ...
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    A Spatial View of Ensemble Spread in Convection Permitting Ensembles 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2014:;volume( 142 ):;issue: 011:;page 4091
    Author(s): Dey, Seonaid R. A.; Leoncini, Giovanni; Roberts, Nigel M.; Plant, Robert S.; Migliorini, Stefano
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: ith movement toward kilometer-scale ensembles, new techniques are needed for their characterization. A new methodology is presented for detailed spatial ensemble characterization using the fractions skill score (FSS). To ...
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    The Value of High-Resolution Met Office Regional Climate Models in the Simulation of Multihourly Precipitation Extremes 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2014:;volume( 027 ):;issue: 016:;page 6155
    Author(s): Chan, Steven C.; Kendon, Elizabeth J.; Fowler, Hayley J.; Blenkinsop, Stephen; Roberts, Nigel M.; Ferro, Christopher A. T.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: xtreme value theory is used as a diagnostic for two high-resolution (12-km parameterized convection and 1.5-km explicit convection) Met Office regional climate model (RCM) simulations. On subdaily time scales, the 12-km ...
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    Characteristics of High-Resolution Versions of the Met Office Unified Model for Forecasting Convection over the United Kingdom 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2008:;volume( 136 ):;issue: 009:;page 3408
    Author(s): Lean, Humphrey W.; Clark, Peter A.; Dixon, Mark; Roberts, Nigel M.; Fitch, Anna; Forbes, Richard; Halliwell, Carol
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: With many operational centers moving toward order 1-km-gridlength models for routine weather forecasting, this paper presents a systematic investigation of the properties of high-resolution versions of the Met Office Unified ...
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    What Is the Added Value of a Convection-Permitting Model for Forecasting Extreme Rainfall over Tropical East Africa? 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2018:;volume 146:;issue 009:;page 2757
    Author(s): Woodhams, Beth J.; Birch, Cathryn E.; Marsham, John H.; Bain, Caroline L.; Roberts, Nigel M.; Boyd, Douglas F. A.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: ABSTRACTForecasting convective rainfall in the tropics is a major challenge for numerical weather prediction. The use of convection-permitting (CP) forecast models in the tropics has lagged behind the midlatitudes, despite ...
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    Do Convection-Permitting Regional Climate Models Improve Projections of Future Precipitation Change? 

    Source: Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society:;2016:;volume( 098 ):;issue: 001:;page 79
    Author(s): Kendon, Elizabeth J.; Ban, Nikolina; Roberts, Nigel M.; Fowler, Hayley J.; Roberts, Malcolm J.; Chan, Steven C.; Evans, Jason P.; Fosser, Giorgia; Wilkinson, Jonathan M.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: egional climate projections are used in a wide range of impact studies, from assessing future flood risk to climate change impacts on food and energy production. These model projections are typically at 12?50-km resolution, ...
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    Greater Future U.K. Winter Precipitation Increase in New Convection-Permitting Scenarios 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2020:;volume( 33 ):;issue: 017:;page 7303
    Author(s): Kendon, Elizabeth J.;Roberts, Nigel M.;Fosser, Giorgia;Martin, Gill M.;Lock, Adrian P.;Murphy, James M.;Senior, Catherine A.;Tucker, Simon O.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: For the first time, a model at a resolution on par with operational weather forecast models has been used for national climate scenarios. An ensemble of 12 climate change projections at convection-permitting (2.2 km) scale ...
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