Abstract: Numerical forecast experiments are carried out to investigate the implications of observed moisture variability in the tropical Pacific for deep convection. The study uses a series of quasi-cloud-resolving model forecasts ...

Abstract: The sensitivity of the atmospheric general circulation model of the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System to a parameterization of convective triggering by atmospheric boundary layer thermals is investigated. ...

Abstract: Cloud radiative effects are represented in simulations with the general circulation model of the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOCAPS) using ingested cloud field data from the ISCCP dataset rather ...

Abstract: A quasi balance with respect to parcel buoyancy at cloud base between destabilizing processes and convection is imposed as a constraint on convective cloud-base mass flux in a modified version of the Kain?Fritsch cumulus ...

Abstract: The convective parameterization of Emanuel has been employed in the forecast model of the Navy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) since 2000, when it replaced a version of the relaxed Arakawa?Schubert ...

Abstract: avy Operational Global Atmospheric Prediction System (NOGAPS) analysis and operational forecasts are evaluated against the Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim; ERAI) and satellite data, and compared with the Global ...

Abstract: AbstractGiven the prohibitive expense of running a global coupled high-resolution model for multiweek forecasts, we explore the feasibility of running a limited-area model forced by a global model on monthly time scales. ...

Abstract: AbstractIn this study, the contribution of low-frequency (>100 days), Madden?Julian oscillation (MJO), and convectively coupled equatorial wave (CCEW) variability to the skill in predicting convection and winds in the ...