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Interannual Variability and Ensemble Forecast of Upper Blue Nile Basin Kiremt Season Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Ethiopian agriculture and Nile River flows are heavily dependent upon the Kiremt season (June?September) precipitation in the upper Blue Nile basin, as a means of rain-fed irrigation and streamflow contribution, respectively. ...
Anomalous ENSO Occurrences: An Alternate View
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: There has been an apparent increase in the frequency and duration of El Niño?Southern Oscillation events in the last two decades relative to the prior period of record. Furthermore, 1990?95 was the longest period of sustained ...
Spatiotemporal Variability and Predictability of Relative Humidity over West African Monsoon Region
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: patial and temporal variability of relative humidity over the West African monsoon (WAM) region is investigated. In particular, the variability during the onset and retreat periods of the monsoon is considered. A K-means ...
Dominant Patterns of Climate Variability in the Atlantic Ocean during the Last 136 Years
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Dominant spatiotemporal patterns of joint sea surface temperature (SST) and sea level pressure (SLP) variability in the Atlantic Ocean are identified using a multivariate frequency domain analysis. Five significant frequency ...
A Multivariate Frequency-Domain Approach to Long-Lead Climatic Forecasting
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Guided by the increasing awareness and detectability of spatiotemporally organized climatic variability at interannual and longer timescales, the authors motivate the paradigm of a climate system that exhibits excitations ...
Categorical Climate Forecasts through Regularization and Optimal Combination of Multiple GCM Ensembles
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A Bayesian methodology is used to assess the information content of categorical, probabilistic forecasts of specific variables derived from a general circulation model (GCM) forecast ensemble, and to combine a ?prior? ...
Joint Spatiotemporal Variability of Global Sea Surface Temperatures and Global Palmer Drought Severity Index Values
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Dominant modes of individual and joint variability in global sea surface temperatures (SST) and global Palmer drought severity index (PDSI) values for the twentieth century are identified through a multivariate frequency ...
Colorado River Basin Hydroclimatic Variability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n analysis of annual hydroclimatic variability in the Upper Colorado River basin (UCRB) for the period of 1906?2006 was performed to understand the dominant modes of multidecadal variability. First, wavelet-based spectral ...
Seasonal Cycle Shifts in Hydroclimatology over the Western United States
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Analyses of streamflow, snow mass temperature, and precipitation in snowmelt-dominated river basins in the western United States indicate an advance in the timing of peak spring season flows over the past 50 years. Warm ...
Interannual and Interdecadal Variability of Thailand Summer Monsoon Season
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Summer monsoon rains are a critical factor in Thailand?s water resources and agricultural planning and management. In fact, they have a significant impact on the country?s economic health. Consequently, understanding the ...
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