Abstract: A fair comparison of quantitative precipitation forecast (QPF) products from multiple forecast sources using performance metrics based on a 2 ? 2 contingency table with assessment of statistical significance of differences ...

Abstract: A diagnostic study is conducted of the kinematics and evolution of upper-level jet streaks representative of three (of the four) phases in the Shapiro conceptual model of a jet streak progressing through a synoptic-scale ...

Abstract: This article discusses the feedbacks between soil moisture and precipitation during the early stages of the South American monsoon. The system achieves maximum precipitation over the southern Amazon basin and the Brazilian ...

Abstract: AbstractTraditional ensemble probabilities are computed based on the number of members that exceed a threshold at a given point divided by the total number of members. This approach has been employed for many years in ...