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RISThe Effect of Probabilistic Information on Threshold Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The study reported here asks whether the use of probabilistic information indicating forecast uncertainty improves the quality of deterministic weather decisions. Participants made realistic wind speed forecasts based on ...
Quantifying the Imprint of a Severe Hector Thunderstorm during ACTIVE/SCOUT-O3 onto the Water Content in the Upper Troposphere/Lower Stratosphere
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The development of a severe Hector thunderstorm that formed over the Tiwi Islands, north of Australia, during the Aerosol and Chemical Transport in Tropical Convection/Stratospheric-Climate Links with Emphasis on the Upper ...
PROBCAST: A Web-Based Portal to Mesoscale Probabilistic Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This paper describes the University of Washington Probability Forecast (PROBCAST), a Web-based portal to probabilistic weather predictions over the Pacific Northwest. PROBCAST products are derived from the output of a ...
Global Chemistry Simulations in the AMMA Multimodel Intercomparison Project
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The authors present results obtained during the chemistry-transport modeling (CTM) component of the African Monsoon Multi-disciplinary Analysis Multimodel Intercomparison Project (AMMA-MIP) using the recently developed ...