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    Evaluating Rank Histograms Using Decompositions of the Chi-Square Test Statistic 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2008:;volume( 136 ):;issue: 006:;page 2133
    Author(s): Jolliffe, Ian T.; Primo, Cristina
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Rank histograms are often plotted to evaluate the forecasts produced by an ensemble forecasting system?an ideal rank histogram is ?flat? or uniform. It has been noted previously that the obvious test of ?flatness,? the ...
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    Spatiotemporal Behavior of the TIGGE Medium-Range Ensemble Forecasts 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2011:;volume( 139 ):;issue: 008:;page 2561
    Author(s): Kipling, Zak; Primo, Cristina; Charlton-Perez, Andrew
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: sing the recently developed mean?variance of logarithms (MVL) diagram, together with The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) archive of medium-range ...
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    Calibration of Probabilistic Forecasts of Binary Events 

    Source: Monthly Weather Review:;2009:;volume( 137 ):;issue: 003:;page 1142
    Author(s): Primo, Cristina; Ferro, Christopher A. T.; Jolliffe, Ian T.; Stephenson, David B.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Probabilistic forecasts of atmospheric variables are often given as relative frequencies obtained from ensembles of deterministic forecasts. The detrimental effects of imperfect models and initial conditions on the quality ...
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