Abstract: he present paper presents a simple theory for the transformation of nonprecipitating, shallow convection into precipitating, deep convective clouds. To make the pertinent point a much idealized system is considered, ...

Abstract: n a recent paper, Wagner and Graf derived a population evolution equation for an ensemble of convective plumes, an analog with the Lotka?Volterra equation, from the energy equations for convective plumes provided by Arakawa ...

Abstract: trong winds equatorward and rearward of a cyclone core have often been associated with two phenomena: the cold conveyor belt (CCB) jet and sting jets. Here, detailed observations of the mesoscale structure in this region ...

Abstract: ith movement toward kilometer-scale ensembles, new techniques are needed for their characterization. A new methodology is presented for detailed spatial ensemble characterization using the fractions skill score (FSS). To ...

Abstract: he influence that the overlake boundary layer has on storm intensity and structure is not well understood. To improve scientists? understanding of the evolution of storms crossing Lake Erie, 111 events during 2001?09 were ...

Abstract: AbstractConvection-permitting ensembles have led to improved forecasts of many atmospheric phenomena. However, to fully utilize these forecasts the dependence of predictability on synoptic conditions needs to be understood. ...

Abstract: AbstractA thermodynamic analysis is presented of an overturning circulation simulated by two cloud-resolving models, coupled by a weak temperature gradient parameterization. Taken together, they represent two separated ...

Abstract: The American Meteorological Society (AMS) held its 11th Conference on Satellite Meteorology and Oceanography at the Monona Terrace Convention Center in Madison, Wisconsin, during 15?18 October 2001. The purpose of the ...

Abstract: A new frontier in weather forecasting is emerging by operational forecast models now being run at convection-permitting resolutions at many national weather services. However, this is not a panacea; significant systematic ...