Abstract: The nonlinearities that cause El Niño events to deviate more from the mean state than La Niña events are still not completely understood. This paper investigates the contribution of one candidate mechanism: ENSO nonlinearities ...

Abstract: Scientific and political barriers both hinder the provision of extreme event attribution analyses in lower income countries. Concerted efforts can overcome some of these, while also improving resilience in a changing ...

Abstract: AbstractIn northern and central Ethiopia, 2015 was a very dry year. Rainfall was only from one-half to three-quarters of the usual amount, with both the ?belg? (February?May) and ?kiremt? rains (June?September) affected. ...