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    “Eyeballing” Trends in Climate Time Series: A Cautionary Note 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2005:;volume( 018 ):;issue: 006:;page 886
    Author(s): Percival, Donald B.; Rothrock, D. Andrew
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: In examining a plot of a time series of a scalar climate variable for indications of climate change, an investigator might pick out what appears to be a linear trend commencing near the end of the record. Visual determination ...
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    Interpretation of North Pacific Variability as a Short- and Long-Memory Process 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2001:;volume( 014 ):;issue: 024:;page 4545
    Author(s): Percival, Donald B.; Overland, James E.; Mofjeld, Harold O.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: A major difficulty in investigating the nature of interdecadal variability of climatic time series is their shortness. An approach to this problem is through comparison of models. In this paper a first-order autoregressive ...
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    Seasonal and Regional Variation of Pan-Arctic Surface Air Temperature over the Instrumental Record 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2004:;volume( 017 ):;issue: 017:;page 3263
    Author(s): Overland, James E.; Spillane, Michael C.; Percival, Donald B.; Wang, Muyin; Mofjeld, Harold O.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: Instrumental surface air temperature (SAT) records beginning in the late 1800s from 59 Arctic stations north of 64°N show monthly mean anomalies of several degrees and large spatial teleconnectivity, yet there are systematic ...
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    Characterizing the European Sub-Arctic Winter Climate since 1500 Using Ice, Temperature, and Atmospheric Circulation Time Series 

    Source: Journal of Climate:;2007:;volume( 020 ):;issue: 021:;page 5316
    Author(s): Eriksson, Christin; Omstedt, Anders; Overland, James E.; Percival, Donald B.; Mofjeld, Harold O.
    Publisher: American Meteorological Society
    Abstract: This study describes winter climate during the last 500 yr for the greater Baltic Sea region through an examination of well-documented time series of ice cover, sea level pressure, and winter surface air temperatures. These ...
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