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“Eyeballing” Trends in Climate Time Series: A Cautionary Note
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In examining a plot of a time series of a scalar climate variable for indications of climate change, an investigator might pick out what appears to be a linear trend commencing near the end of the record. Visual determination ...
Interpretation of North Pacific Variability as a Short- and Long-Memory Process
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A major difficulty in investigating the nature of interdecadal variability of climatic time series is their shortness. An approach to this problem is through comparison of models. In this paper a first-order autoregressive ...
Seasonal and Regional Variation of Pan-Arctic Surface Air Temperature over the Instrumental Record
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Instrumental surface air temperature (SAT) records beginning in the late 1800s from 59 Arctic stations north of 64°N show monthly mean anomalies of several degrees and large spatial teleconnectivity, yet there are systematic ...
Characterizing the European Sub-Arctic Winter Climate since 1500 Using Ice, Temperature, and Atmospheric Circulation Time Series
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: This study describes winter climate during the last 500 yr for the greater Baltic Sea region through an examination of well-documented time series of ice cover, sea level pressure, and winter surface air temperatures. These ...