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RISSteering Flow Sensitivity in Forecast Models for Hurricane Ian (2022)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Sensitivity to the Representation of Microphysical Processes in Numerical Simulations during Tropical Storm Formation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: n analysis of in situ observations from the nondeveloping tropical disturbance named TCS025 revealed that a combination of unfavorable system-scale and environmental factors limited further development. In this study, a ...
Observations of a Nondeveloping Tropical Disturbance in the Western North Pacific during TCS-08 (2008)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: arge uncertainty still remains in determining whether a tropical cloud cluster will develop into a tropical cyclone. During The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional ...
Analysis of Tropical Storm Formation Based on Ensemble Data Assimilation and High-Resolution Numerical Simulations of a Nondeveloping Disturbance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: nondeveloping tropical disturbance, identified as TCS025, was observed during three intensive observing periods during The Observing System Research and Predictability Experiment (THORPEX) Pacific Asian Regional Campaign ...
A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Genesis Forecast Verification from Three Global Forecast System (GFS) Operational Configurations
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Latent Heating and Cooling Rates in Developing and Nondeveloping Tropical Disturbances during TCS-08: Radar-Equivalent Retrievals from Mesoscale Numerical Models and ELDORA
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: atent heating and cooling rates have a critical role in predicting tropical cyclone formation and intensification. In a prior study, Park and Elsberry estimated the latent heating and cooling rates from aircraft Doppler ...
A Description of the Real-Time HFIP Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) for Tropical Cyclone Track and Intensity Guidance
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractThis study discusses the development of the Hurricane Forecast Improvement Program (HFIP) Corrected Consensus Approach (HCCA) for tropical cyclone track and intensity forecasts. The HCCA technique relies on the ...