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Climatological Characteristics of Typical Daily Precipitation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractPrecipitation is often quantified by the amount that falls over a given period of time but not the rate at which most of it falls or the rate associated with the most frequent events. Here, three metrics are ...
The Atmospheric Energy Constraint on Global-Mean Precipitation Change
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: odels from phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) robustly predict that the rate of increase in global-mean precipitation with global-mean surface temperature increase is much less than the rate of ...
Two Modes of Change of the Distribution of Rain
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: he frequency and intensity of rainfall determine its character and may change with climate. A methodology for characterizing the frequency and amount of rainfall as functions of the rain rate is developed. Two modes of ...
Changes in the Distribution of Rain Frequency and Intensity in Response to Global Warming
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: hanges in the frequency and intensity of rainfall are an important potential impact of climate change. Two modes of change, a shift and an increase, are applied to simulations of global warming with models from phase 5 of ...
Diabatically Induced Secondary Flows in Tropical Cyclones. Part I: Quasi-Steady Forcing
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The Sawyer?Eliassen Equation (SEQ) is here rederived in height coordinates such that the sea surface is also a coordinate surface. Compared with the conventional derivation in mass field coordinates, this formulation adds ...
Evaluating Climate Model Simulations of the Radiative Forcing and Radiative Response at Earth’s Surface
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractWe analyze the radiative forcing and radiative response at Earth?s surface, where perturbations in the radiation budget regulate the atmospheric hydrological cycle. By applying a radiative kernel-regression technique ...
Uncovering the Forced Climate Response from a Single Ensemble Member Using Statistical Learning
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractInternal atmospheric variability fundamentally limits predictability of climate and obscures evidence of anthropogenic climate change regionally and on time scales of up to a few decades. Dynamical adjustment ...
Coupled Air–Mixed Layer Temperature Predictability for Climate Reconstruction
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A central issue for understanding past climates involves the use of sparse time-integrated data to recover the physical properties of the coupled climate system. This issue is explored in a simple model of the midlatitude ...
An Ensemble Covariance Framework for Quantifying Forced Climate Variability and Its Time of Emergence
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractClimate variability and its response to increasing greenhouse gases are important considerations for impacts and adaptation. Modeling studies commonly assess projected changes in variability in terms of changes in ...
Isolating the Evolving Contributions of Anthropogenic Aerosols and Greenhouse Gases: A New CESM1 Large Ensemble Community Resource
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The evolving roles of anthropogenic aerosols (AER) and greenhouse gases (GHG) in driving large-scale patterns of precipitation and SST trends during 1920–2080 are studied using a new set of “all-but-one-forcing” initial-condition ...