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RISUsing Ensembles to Analyze Predictability Links in the Tropical Cyclone Flood Forecast Chain
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
The Skill of Probabilistic Precipitation Forecasts under Observational Uncertainties within the Generalized Likelihood Uncertainty Estimation Framework for Hydrological Applications
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A methodology for evaluating ensemble forecasts, taking into account observational uncertainties for catchment-based precipitation averages, is introduced. Probability distributions for mean catchment precipitation are ...
Key Factors Influencing the Severity of Fluvial Flood Hazard from Tropical Cyclones
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Joining Forces in a Global Flood Partnership
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
ECMWF Activities for Improved Hurricane Forecasts
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractTropical cyclones are some of the most devastating natural hazards and the ?three beasts??Harvey, Irma, and Maria?during the Atlantic hurricane season 2017 are recent examples. The European Centre for Medium-Range ...