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Prediction of Precipitation Probability Based on 500-Mb Flow Types
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Regression techniques are applied on stratified and non-stratified data to obtain prediction equations for the probability of precipitation over the western continental United States. The stratification is based on 500-mb ...
The Effect of Topography on a Rossby Wave
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A system of three Fourier components in a barotropic channel flow is considered to investigate the influence of topography on a neutral Rossby wave. Analytic solutions show how topography induces a nonlinear oscillation ...
On Geopotential Data and Ellipticity of the Balance Equation: A Data Study
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: One year of geopotential data obtained from the National Meteorological Center and the National Center for Atmospheric Research are diagnosed for the occurrence of non-elliptic regions with respect to the balance equation. ...
An Efficient and Accurate Approximation to the Balance Wind with Application to Non-Elliptic Data
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An efficient alternative to the customary balance equation solution procedures is described which gives very similar solutions for those cases when the balance equation is elliptic. This alternative invokes some assumptions ...
Empirical Orthogonal Function Estimates of Local Predictability
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Predictability times are estimated from 500 mb heights resolved for horizontal scales from 5 ? 106 to 8 ? 106 m. These scales are defined through eigenvector analysis of seven years of winter data over a portion of the ...
Statistical Prediction of 500 mb Height Field Using Eigenvectors
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Empirical orthogonal functions for the 500 mb height and 850 mb temperature fields over a limited domain are obtained. These functions are then used as predictors in a regression model to forecast the height field 24 h in ...
Short Numerical Integrations of a Three-Level Spectral Quasi-Geostrophic Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Two sets of initial conditions are used to integrate a three-level quasi-geostrophic model in spectral form. After a maximum perturbation kinetic energy is reached, a barotropic exchange in established between the zonal ...
The Role of Barotropic Oscillations within Atmospheres of Highly Variable Refractive Index
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Among the various energy transfer mechanisms that might be relevant for teleconnections between tropical and higher latitudes, Rossby wave propagation is certainly one of the most important. In view of this, it is of ...
Synoptic Climatology of 500-mb Winter Flow Types
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: An objective correlation method is used to obtain seven typical 500-mb winter flow Patterns Over the western United States and eastern Pacific Ocean. The frequency of occurrence of each type is presented. The atmospheric ...
Linkages between Summer Rainfall Variability over South America and Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: A reconstructed rainfall dataset, and satellite estimates are used to analyze interannual to decadal variability of austral summer precipitation over South America. Rotated empirical orthogonal function (REOF) analysis is ...