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Mechanisms for the Development of Locally Low-Dimensional Atmospheric Dynamics
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The complexity of atmospheric instabilities is investigated by a combination of numerical experiments and diagnostic tools that do not require the assumption of linear error dynamics. These tools include the well-established ...
Assessing Predictability with a Local Ensemble Kalman Filter
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: In this paper, the spatiotemporally changing nature of predictability is studied in a reduced-resolution version of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) Global Forecast System (GFS), a state-of-the-art ...