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RISA One-Step-Ahead Ensemble Kalman Smoothing Approach Toward Estimating the Tropical Cyclone Surface-Exchange Coefficients
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
A One-Step-Ahead Ensemble Kalman Smoothing Approach Toward Estimating the Tropical Cyclone Surface-Exchange Coefficients
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Consistent Impacts of Surface Enthalpy and Drag Coefficient Uncertainty between an Analytical Model and Simulated Tropical Cyclone Maximum Intensity and Storm Structure
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: Several previous studies have demonstrated the significant sensitivity of simulated tropical cyclone structure and intensity to variations in surface-exchange coefficients for enthalpy (Ck) and momentum (Cd), respectively. ...
Potential for New Constraints on Tropical Cyclone Surface-Exchange Coefficients through Simultaneous Ensemble-Based State and Parameter Estimation
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Asymmetric rainband processes leading to secondary eyewall formation in a model simulation of Hurricane Matthew (2016)
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: The dynamics of an asymmetric rainband complex leading into secondary eyewall formation (SEF) are examined in a simulation of Hurricane Matthew (2016), with particular focus on the tangential wind field evolution. Prior ...
Dynamical Structures of Cross-Domain Forecast Error Covariance of a Simulated Tropical Cyclone in a Convection-Permitting Coupled Atmosphere–Ocean Model
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Predictability and Dynamics of Hurricane Joaquin (2015) Explored through Convection-Permitting Ensemble Sensitivity Experiments
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractReal-time ensemble forecasts from the Pennsylvania State University (PSU) WRF EnKF system (APSU) for Hurricane Joaquin (2015) are examined in this study. The ensemble forecasts, from early in Joaquin?s life cycle, ...
Improving Harvey Forecasts with Next-Generation Weather Satellites: Advanced Hurricane Analysis and Prediction with Assimilation of GOES-R All-Sky Radiances
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Abstract: AbstractHurricane Harvey brought catastrophic destruction and historical flooding to the Gulf Coast region in late August 2017. Guided by numerical weather prediction models, operational forecasters at NOAA provided ...